TOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 8, 2025 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 3 3 3 113+1
- 10Robert Lambert3 1 1 2 310
- 11Jan Kvech1 1 1 03+1
- 12Mikkel Michelsen0 3 2 2 18+1
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 W 210
- 14Mikołaj Duchiński1 0 01
- 15Antoni Kawczyński2 0 13
- 1Jack Holder2 1 2 0 27+1
- 2Fredrik Lindgren2 2 0 3 07
- 3Dominik Kubera0 2 1 1 15
- 4Mateusz Cierniak1 01+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik1 2 3 3 3 315+1
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 0 2 07+1
- 7Bartosz BańborW 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Jan Kvech · TOR1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR2
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jan Kvech · TOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Jan Kvech · TOR1*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Jan Kvech · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 15 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | LUB | TOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.3 | 13 | +4.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| Mikołaj Duchiński | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 2 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.