GOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 8, 2025 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 1 2 3 312
- 10Mikołaj Krok0 00
- 11Oskar Fajfer0 3 1 1 27+2
- 12Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 3 0 39+1
- 13Anders Thomsen3 2 1 1 18+1
- 14Oskar Chatłas1 0 01
- 15Oskar Paluch3 3 3 2 213
- 1Max Fricke1 1 3 1 06+2
- 2Jaimon Lidsey0 00
- 3Vadim Tarasenko2 1 3 1 3 010
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak2 0 2 2 17+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 2 3 2 214+1
- 6Kevin Małkiewicz2 1 D3+1
- 7Kacper Łobodziński0 00
- 8Jan Przanowski00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Oskar Chatłas · GOR1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · GOR1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1*
- Oskar Chatłas · GOR0
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · GOR2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRUD
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Oskar Chatłas · GOR0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Mikołaj Krok · GOR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · GOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1
- Jan Przanowski · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · GOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Mikołaj Krok · GOR0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · GOR3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 26 km/h W
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 10.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GOR | GRU | GOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Paluch | 5 | 5.7 | 13 | +7.3 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 13.6 | 14 | +0.4 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Jan Przanowski | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Mikołaj Krok | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Oskar Chatłas | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.