TOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 23, 2025 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 2 3 2 212+3
- 10Robert Lambert1 3 2 1 07+3
- 11Jan Kvech0 0 1 23+1
- 12Mikkel Michelsen2 3 2 3 313
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 3 2 312+1
- 14Mikołaj Duchiński0 2 02
- 15Antoni Kawczyński3 0 03
- 1Max Fricke1 2 14+1
- 2Jaimon Lidsey3 1 0 3 07+1
- 3Jakub Miśkowiak2 2 1 0 27+1
- 4Vadim Tarasenko0 1 2 03+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen0 1 3 1 3 19
- 6Kevin Małkiewicz2 3 0 1 17+1
- 7Kacper Łobodziński1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Jan Kvech · TOR0
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Jan Kvech · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU1*
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Jan Kvech · TOR1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Jan Kvech · TOR2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 6 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 2 km/h W
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | GRU | TOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 5 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Mikołaj Duchiński | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Max Fricke | 3 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.4 | 7 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.