ZIE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 11, 2025 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel1 3 1 3 19+1
- 10Rasmus Jensen2 1 0 2 27
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 3 314
- 12Jonas Knudsen0 W0
- 13Leon Madsen1 2 2 16+1
- 14Oskar Hurysz1 1 D2+1
- 15Damian Ratajczak3 1 2 1 1 08+2
- 1Patryk Dudek3 3 3 2 213
- 2Robert Lambert3 0 2 2 18+1
- 3Jan Kvech0 1 1 02
- 4Mikkel Michelsen3 2 3 0 08
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 1 3 311+1
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski2 0 D2
- 7Antoni Kawczyński0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1*
- Jan Kvech · TOR0
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Leon Madsen · ZIE1
- Jonas Knudsen · ZIE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Jan Kvech · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · ZIE2
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · ZIE2
- Jan Kvech · TOR1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIED
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TORD
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Leon Madsen · ZIE1*
- Jan Kvech · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 15 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 33 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | TOR | ZIE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.2 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 6 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Leon Madsen | 4 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.6 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.