GRU vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, May 29, 2025 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke1 2 1 2 3 110+2
- 10Jaimon Lidsey3 0 03
- 11Jakub Miśkowiak0 1 01+1
- 12Vadim Tarasenko0 2 1 14
- 13Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 3 1 3 214+1
- 14Kacper Łobodziński1 1 02
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz3 W 2 2 07+1
- 1Jack Holder2 3 3 0 210+2
- 2Fredrik Lindgren1 1 02+1
- 3Dominik Kubera3 3 2 2 010
- 4Mateusz Cierniak2 0 1 3 39+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 1 312+1
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski2 W 2 W4+1
- 7Bartosz Jaworski0 1 12
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1*
- Jack Holder · LUB0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2*
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GRU | LUB | GRU | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 5 | 3.8 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.2 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 7.8 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 3 | 6.0 | 2 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.