LUB vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 2, 2025 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera3 3 0 3 312
- 10Fredrik Lindgren2 1 3 28+1
- 11Jack Holder2 1 2 38+2
- 12Mateusz Cierniak2 3 3 1 211+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 39
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 2 311+1
- 15Bartosz Bańbor1 1 13
- 16Bartosz Jaworski0 11
- 1Rohan Tungate0 2 1 2 27+1
- 2Gleb Chugunov1 0 2 2 16
- 3Kacper Pludra1 0 1 1 03
- 4Chris HolderW 2 0 02
- 5Nicki Pedersen0 2 1 3 U6
- 6Paweł Trześniewski0 11
- 7Maksym Borowiak2 0 0 02
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Kacper Pludra · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB1
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Chris Holder · RYB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Kacper Pludra · RYB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Kacper Pludra · RYB1
- Chris Holder · RYB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Chris Holder · RYB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Kacper Pludra · RYB1
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB1
- Kacper Pludra · RYB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB1
- Nicki Pedersen · RYBU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LUB | RYB | LUB | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +20 | 100 % |
| 8 | +24 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +28 | 100 % |
| 11 | +30 | 100 % |
| 12 | +32 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 5.4 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 3 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 11.5 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Kacper Pludra | 5 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.3 | 2 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.