GRU vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 4, 2025 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke1 2 1 0 04
- 10Jaimon Lidsey1 1 02+1
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 3 3 2 114+2
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 2 1 3 314+1
- 13Vadim Tarasenko1 1 13+1
- 14Kacper Łobodziński2 0 U2
- 15Kevin MałkiewiczW W 2 24+1
- 1Artem Laguta2 3 3 2 212+1
- 2Maciej Janowski3 2 2 1 08+2
- 3Bartłomiej Kowalski0 1 2 03+1
- 4Dan Bewley2 0 3 3 19+1
- 5Brady Kurtz0 3 1 1 38
- 6Marcel Kowolik3 3 06
- 7Nikodem Mikołajczyk1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO3
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU2
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Brady Kurtz · WRO0
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Brady Kurtz · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1*
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRUU
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2*
- Brady Kurtz · WRO1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2*
- Brady Kurtz · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Brady Kurtz · WRO3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | WRO | GRU | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 6 | 5.6 | 14 | +8.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 3 | 2.4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 4 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Nikodem Mikołajczyk | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 3 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.5 | 8 | -3.5 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.