ZIE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 25, 2025 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel2 1 0 1 37+2
- 10Rasmus Jensen2 2 1 1 17+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 3 0 3 314
- 12Mitchell McDiarmid0 00
- 13Leon Madsen2 1 0 25
- 14Damian Ratajczak3 0 3 0 06
- 15Oskar Hurysz0 0 00
- 1Max Fricke1 2 3 2 08+2
- 2Jaimon Lidsey1 3 2 2 210+1
- 3Jakub Miśkowiak0 3 1 04+1
- 4Vadim Tarasenko1 1 2 3 18+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 2 3 213
- 6Kevin Małkiewicz2 3 16+1
- 7Kacper Łobodziński1 0 12+2
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · ZIE2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Mitchell McDiarmid · ZIE0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Mitchell McDiarmid · ZIE0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Leon Madsen · ZIE1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU1*
- Leon Madsen · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2*
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1*
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Damian Ratajczak · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 10 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | GRU | ZIE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -14 | 0 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 3.1 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 11.9 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 5 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Mitchell McDiarmid | 2 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Leon Madsen | 4 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.