LUB vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 19, 2025 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera2 1 3 3 312+1
- 10Fredrik Lindgren3 2 2 1 08+1
- 11Jack Holder1 3 2 3 211+1
- 12Mateusz Cierniak0 0 1 01+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 113+1
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 1 04
- 15Bartosz Bańbor0 00
- 16Bartosz Jaworski00
- 1Piotr Pawlicki3 2 0 1 T 06+1
- 2Wiktor Lampart2 1 14+1
- 3Mads Hansen0 2 1 03+1
- 4Kacper Woryna0 1 2 2 27+1
- 5Jason Doyle1 3 3 2 2 314+1
- 6Franciszek Karczewski1 2 03+1
- 7Szymon Ludwiczak2 0 1 14+2
Heat by heat
- Piotr Pawlicki · CZE3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE2
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Wiktor Lampart · CZE2
- Jason Doyle · CZE1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · CZE2
- Wiktor Lampart · CZE1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Jason Doyle · CZE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Wiktor Lampart · CZE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · CZE0
- Jason Doyle · CZE3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · CZE0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · CZE1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE1*
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · CZE2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Jason Doyle · CZE3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 14 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | CZE | LUB | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 11.1 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Szymon Ludwiczak | 4 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.