GRU vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 19, 2025 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke3 3 3 2 112+1
- 10Jaimon Lidsey3 1 1 05
- 11Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 2 3 311
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak0 0 1 3 04+1
- 13Vadim Tarasenko3 0 2 2 29
- 14Kacper Łobodziński3 2 05+1
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz2 2 15+1
- 1Maksym Drabik1 3 1 0 05+1
- 2Rohan Tungate1 1 2 2 39+1
- 3Chris Holder2 2 3 1 1 09
- 4Kacper Pludra1 12+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 1 3 213
- 6Paweł Trześniewski0 0 00
- 7Maksym Borowiak1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Chris Holder · RYB2
- Maksym Drabik · RYB1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU2*
- Kacper Pludra · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Chris Holder · RYB2
- Kacper Pludra · RYB1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Maksym Drabik · RYB3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Chris Holder · RYB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Maksym Drabik · RYB1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Maksym Drabik · RYB0
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB1
- Maksym Drabik · RYB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Chris Holder · RYB1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Chris Holder · RYB1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Nicki Pedersen · RYB2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Chris Holder · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 1 km/h N
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GRU | RYB | GRU | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 10.3 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Kacper Pludra | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.