LUB vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 28, 2025 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera3 1 W 04+1
- 10Fredrik Lindgren2 2 2 1 18+1
- 11Jack HolderW 1 3 3 18+1
- 12Mateusz Cierniak0 3 1 3 29
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 1 3 3 312+1
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 06
- 15Bartosz Bańbor2 2 15+1
- 1Patryk Dudek2 3 1 3 1 212+2
- 2Robert Lambert3 0 1 2 06
- 3Jan Kvech11
- 4Mikkel Michelsen1 2 2 2 0 310
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow1 0 3 2 2 08
- 6Antoni Kawczyński1 0 0 01
- 7Mikołaj Duchiński0 00
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Jan Kvech · TOR1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10 → 8 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 89 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LUB | TOR | LUB | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 5.0 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.8 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Jan Kvech | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 11.8 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Mikołaj Duchiński | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 4 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.