WRO vs GRU

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 21, 2025 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław

Results

WRO 61 : 29 GRU
WRO
GRU

Heat by heat

Heat 164.03 s3:3
Heat 264.23 s5:1
Heat 364.03 s3:3
Heat 464.36 s5:1
Heat 564.25 s5:1
Heat 663.93 s4:2
Heat 763.63 s4:2
Heat 864.60 s3:3
Heat 964.51 s5:1
Heat 1064.38 s3:3
Heat 1164.93 s5:1
Heat 1265.73 s3:3
Heat 1364.88 s3:3
Heat 1465.64 s5:1
Heat 1565.63 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
29 → 23 °C
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Wind
12 km/h SW
gusts up to 28 km/h
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
52 %
Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7135+8−8
8–10117+4−4
11–13117+4−4
14–15102+8−8
WROGRUWROGRU

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead WRO
05101520253035115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+486 %
3+482 %
4+893 %
5+1297 %
6+1499 %
7+16100 %
8+16100 %
9+20100 %
10+20100 %
11+24100 %
12+24100 %
13+24100 %
14+28100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Michael Jepsen Jensen611.015+4.0
Marcel Kowolik32.56+3.5
Brady Kurtz510.914+3.1
Maciej Janowski56.59+2.5
Bartłomiej Kowalski44.87+2.2
Artem Laguta510.311+0.7
Dan Bewley59.710+0.3
Jakub Krawczyk34.14-0.1
Kacper Łobodziński21.20-1.2
Kevin Małkiewicz54.83-1.8
Max Fricke58.06-2.0
Jakub Miśkowiak33.11-2.1
Jaimon Lidsey44.82-2.8
Vadim Tarasenko58.12-6.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 65.7363.63 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.7:26.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −2.90 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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