GRU vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 22, 2025 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke2 2 1 05+1
- 10Jaimon Lidsey3 0 03
- 11Vadim Tarasenko3 1 2 1 18
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak2 3 0 1 06
- 13Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 2 2 3 314+1
- 14Kacper Łobodziński0 0 11+1
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz3 0 3 06
- 1Jack Holder1 1 2 2 28+3
- 2Fredrik Lindgren0 2 3 2 18+1
- 3Dominik KuberaD 0 3 14
- 4Mateusz Cierniak2 2 0 3 07
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 3 214
- 6Bartosz Jaworski1 1 13+2
- 7Bartosz Bańbor2 1 03
Heat by heat
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Dominik Kubera · LUBD
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB1*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GRU | LUB | GRU | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 4 | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.1 | 14 | +0.9 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 3 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 3 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.