LUB vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 8, 2025 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin

Results

LUB 63 : 27 ZIE

LUB

9Dominik Kubera3 1 2 28+3
10Fredrik Lindgren3 2 3 19
11Jack Holder2 3 2 310+2
12Mateusz Cierniak0 2 3 38+1
13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 312
14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 2 310+2
15Bartosz Bańbor1 2 1 26+1
16Bartosz Jaworski0 00

ZIE

1Jarosław Hampel0 1 1 02
2Jonas Knudsen2 0 0 02
3Michał Curzytek1 0 0 0 12
4Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 1 1 26
5Leon Madsen1 3 1 2 18+2
6Damian Ratajczak2 0 0 2 37
7Gracjan Szostak0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 166.90 s5:1

Heat 266.23 s4:2

Heat 366.71 s3:3

Heat 467.08 s5:1

Heat 567.28 s5:1

Heat 666.55 s5:1

Heat 766.51 s3:3

Heat 866.75 s5:1

Heat 967.03 s5:1

Heat 1067.03 s5:1

Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
Jack Holder · LUB2*
Leon Madsen · ZIE1
Damian Ratajczak · ZIE0

Heat 1167.30 s5:1

Heat 1266.76 s4:2

Heat 1366.44 s4:2

Heat 1467.74 s2:4

Heat 1567.07 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 24 → 21 °C; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Wind: 5 km/h W; gusts up to 24 km/h; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 50 %; Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	17	7	+10	−10
5–7	13	5	+8	−8
8–10	15	3	+12	−12
11–13	13	5	+8	−8
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	LUB	ZIE	LUB	ZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead LUB

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+6	89 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+10	98 %
5	+14	100 %
6	+18	99 %
7	+18	100 %
8	+22	100 %
9	+26	100 %
10	+30	100 %
11	+34	100 %
12	+36	100 %
13	+38	100 %
14	+36	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Wiktor Przyjemski	4	6.7	10	+3.3
Mateusz Cierniak	4	5.2	8	+2.8
Bartosz Zmarzlik	4	10.5	12	+1.5
Fredrik Lindgren	4	7.6	9	+1.4
Bartosz Bańbor	4	4.8	6	+1.2
Dominik Kubera	4	7.1	8	+0.9
Jack Holder	4	9.2	10	+0.8
Damian Ratajczak	5	6.9	7	+0.1
Gracjan Szostak	2	0.5	0	-0.5
Jonas Knudsen	4	2.7	2	-0.7
Michał Curzytek	5	2.7	2	-0.7
Bartosz Jaworski	2	1.2	0	-1.2
Leon Madsen	5	10.6	8	-2.6
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	9.0	6	-3.0
Jarosław Hampel	4	5.5	2	-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.7466.23 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.7:37.7 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +1.10 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source