TOR vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 18, 2025 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek2 1 1 26+2
- 10Robert Lambert2 3 3 3 314
- 11Jan Kvech3 1 2 3 09+1
- 12Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 312
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 3 29+2
- 14Mikołaj Duchiński2 1 0 14+2
- 15Antoni Kawczyński3 1 1 05+1
- 1Chris Holder1 3 2 1 29
- 2Gleb Chugunov0 0 0 22
- 3Kacper Pludra0 0 2 1 25+1
- 4Maksym Drabik3 2 1 0 3 110+2
- 5Rohan Tungate1 2 1 04
- 6Paweł Trześniewski0 0 00
- 7Kacper Tkocz1 0 W1
Heat by heat
- Jan Kvech · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Chris Holder · RYB1
- Kacper Pludra · RYB0
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR3
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB0
- Maksym Drabik · RYB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · TOR1
- Kacper Pludra · RYB0
- Chris Holder · RYB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1*
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Kacper Pludra · RYB2
- Maksym Drabik · RYB1*
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Chris Holder · RYB2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Jan Kvech · TOR2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Chris Holder · RYB1
- Maksym Drabik · RYB0
- Jan Kvech · TOR3
- Gleb Chugunov · RYB2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2*
- Kacper Pludra · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Maksym Drabik · RYB3
- Kacper Pludra · RYB2*
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR1
- Jan Kvech · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Chris Holder · RYB2
- Maksym Drabik · RYB1*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 23 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| TOR | RYB | TOR | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Kacper Pludra | 5 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Mikołaj Duchiński | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 12.3 | 10 | -2.3 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 9.4 | 6 | -3.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.