LUB vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 20, 2025 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera3 3 2 19+2
- 10Fredrik Lindgren1 2 3 0 17+1
- 11Jack Holder2 1 3 3 110+1
- 12Mateusz Cierniak0 0 1 23
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 2 311+1
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 3 09
- 15Bartosz Bańbor2 2 2 06+3
- 1Bartłomiej Kowalski0 11
- 2Maciej Janowski2 0 1 1 37
- 3Artem Laguta1 2 1 3 1 311+2
- 4Dan Bewley2 3 0 0 0 27+1
- 5Brady Kurtz1 1 2 2 28+2
- 6Jakub KrawczykT W0
- 7Marcel Kowolik1 0 01
- 8Nikodem Mikołajczyk00
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Brady Kurtz · WRO1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Brady Kurtz · WRO1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2*
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Brady Kurtz · WRO2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Brady Kurtz · WRO2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Brady Kurtz · WRO2*
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 94 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| LUB | WRO | LUB | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 4.9 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 4 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Nikodem Mikołajczyk | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 11.1 | 7 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.