GRU vs ZIE

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 20, 2025 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz

Results

GRU 57 : 33 ZIE
GRU
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 166.39 s4:2
Heat 267.05 s3:3
Heat 366.49 s4:2
Heat 466.75 s3:3
Heat 567.80 s2:4
Heat 667.01 s5:1
Heat 766.71 s3:3
Heat 867.55 s3:3
Heat 967.22 s5:1
Heat 1067.54 s1:5
Heat 1168.27 s5:1
Heat 1267.90 s4:2
Heat 1368.25 s5:1
Heat 1468.80 s5:1
Heat 1567.76 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy → Clear
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
27 → 25 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
14 km/h N
gusts up to 28 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
58 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41410+4−4
5–7108+2−2
8–109900
11–13144+10−10
14–15102+8−8
GRUZIEGRUZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GRU
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+277 %
3+482 %
4+483 %
5+269 %
6+688 %
7+690 %
8+690 %
9+1097 %
10+692 %
11+1097 %
12+12100 %
13+16100 %
14+20100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Michael Jepsen Jensen59.815+5.2
Jaimon Lidsey59.012+3.0
Kevin Małkiewicz44.37+2.7
Max Fricke510.612+1.4
Damian Ratajczak710.411+0.6
Michał Curzytek10.60-0.6
Vadim Tarasenko58.78-0.7
Jakub Miśkowiak33.02-1.0
Jonas Knudsen32.01-1.0
Gracjan Szostak21.10-1.1
Kacper Łobodziński32.21-1.2
Leon Madsen713.612-1.6
Rasmus Jensen710.28-2.2
Jarosław Hampel34.51-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.8066.39 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 29.0:33.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −2.17 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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