LUB vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 27, 2025 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera1 2 2 05
- 10Fredrik Lindgren3 1 0 2 17+1
- 11Jack Holder3 3 2 311+1
- 12Mateusz Cierniak2 2 3 2 211+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 39
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 1 1 07+2
- 15Bartosz Bańbor2 0 1 36+1
- 1Max Fricke2 1 1 3 310+1
- 2Jaimon Lidsey1 2 3 2 19
- 3Vadim Tarasenko0 1 2 3 28
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak1 0 01
- 5Michael Jepsen JensenD 3 D 1 0 04
- 6Damian Miller0 U0
- 7Jan Przanowski1 0 1 02
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Jan Przanowski · GRU1
- Damian Miller · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRUD
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU1
- Damian Miller · GRUU
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Jan Przanowski · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Jan Przanowski · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRUD
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Jan Przanowski · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 19 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 13.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | GRU | LUB | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +18 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 6.8 | 11 | +4.2 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 4 | 2.8 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 5.4 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 3 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Jan Przanowski | 4 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Damian Miller | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.3 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 11.8 | 4 | -7.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.