WRO vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 28, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Artem Laguta2 3 3 1 312
- 10Tai Woffinden2 1 1 04
- 11Bartłomiej Kowalski1 2 2 3 311+2
- 12Dan Bewley3 3 1 3 111+1
- 13Maciej Janowski1 2 3 1 29+1
- 14Nikodem Mikołajczyk2 1 03+2
- 15Jakub Krawczyk3 0 14
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 3 2 0 210
- 2Maksym Drabik0 1 0 23
- 3Kacper Woryna0 0 2 3 16
- 4Mads Hansen3 1 1 2 07+1
- 5Leon Madsen2 2 3 2 09+1
- 6Szymon Ludwiczak1 0 01
- 7Kacper Halkiewicz0 00
- 8Bartosz Śmigielski00
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO3
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO2*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO1*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1
- Bartosz Śmigielski · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 23 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| WRO | CZE | WRO | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 6.0 | 11 | +5.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Nikodem Mikołajczyk | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Bartosz Śmigielski | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Szymon Ludwiczak | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 7.3 | 3 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.