ZIE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 9, 2024 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 2 3 3 011
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 1 1 0 38+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 2 3 18
- 12Jan Kvech1 3 1 05+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki2 2 1 3 19
- 14Oskar Hurysz3 0 36
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski2 0 13+1
- 1Dan Bewley2 3 0 1 1 310+2
- 2Tai Woffinden0 1 2 2 27
- 3Bartłomiej Kowalski0 W0
- 4Artem Laguta2 2 0 26
- 5Maciej Janowski3 3 2 3 2 215+1
- 6Jakub Krawczyk0 1 W 01+1
- 7Kacper Andrzejewski1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE2*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1*
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| ZIE | WRO | ZIE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 10.7 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 2.3 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.