CZE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 7, 2024 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen0 1 2 14
- 10Maksym Drabik1 3 1 2 310+1
- 11Kacper Woryna2 1 2 2 07
- 12Mads HansenD 0 1 3 26+2
- 13Leon Madsen3 3 2 1 312+1
- 14Szymon Ludwiczak2 3 05+1
- 15Bartosz Śmigielski3 0 03
- 1Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 0 03
- 2Benjamin Cook2 1 3 3 09+1
- 3Bartosz Smektała3 2 1 0 17+1
- 4Keynan Rew2 3 3 2 111+1
- 5Grzegorz Zengota1 2 3 3 211
- 6Hubert Jabłoński1 0 01
- 7Antoni Mencel0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Bartosz Śmigielski · CZE3
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE2*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Benjamin Cook · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Mads Hansen · CZED
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Keynan Rew · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Benjamin Cook · LES1*
- Bartosz Śmigielski · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Keynan Rew · LES3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1
- Bartosz Śmigielski · CZE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Benjamin Cook · LES0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Keynan Rew · LES1*
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| CZE | LES | CZE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 5.5 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.1 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Benjamin Cook | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Szymon Ludwiczak | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.9 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Bartosz Śmigielski | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 4 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.