TOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 2, 2024 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 1 1 1 39+1
- 10Robert Lambert3 3 2 2 010
- 11Wiktor Lampart1 0 2 25
- 12Paweł Przedpełski2 2 1 0 W5+2
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 1 212+1
- 14Mateusz Affelt0 00
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski2 1 14+1
- 16Antoni Kawczyński11
- 1Jarosław Hampel2 T 3 2 18+1
- 2Jan Kvech2 0 3 27
- 3Rasmus Jensen0 3 1 04+1
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 2 3 19
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 2 3 3 312
- 6Krzysztof Sadurski3 0 03
- 7Oskar Hurysz1 D 0 01
- 8Michał CurzytekU0
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIED
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1*
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | ZIE | TOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Michał Curzytek | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 4 | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 4 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.