LUB vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 2, 2024 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera3 1 1 1 06+2
- 10Mateusz Cierniak1 2 2 U5+1
- 11Jack Holder1 2 2 3 19+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 1 3 3 110+3
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 3 3 212
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 16
- 15Bartosz Bańbor2 0 02+1
- 1Dan Bewley2 2 3 0 1 311+1
- 2Tai Woffinden0 3 0 25
- 3Bartłomiej KowalskiT 00
- 4Artem Laguta3 3 0 2 2 313+1
- 5Maciej Janowski1 3 2 1 2 09
- 6Jakub Krawczyk0 0 00
- 7Nikodem Mikołajczyk1 0 0 12+1
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUBU
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 14 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LUB | WRO | LUB | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 12.4 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Nikodem Mikołajczyk | 4 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.