CZE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 31, 2024 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 1 212
- 10Maksym Drabik3 2 1 1 310+1
- 11Kacper Woryna1 2 3 2 210+1
- 12Mads Hansen0 1 2 36+2
- 13Leon Madsen2 3 3 3 011
- 14Szymon Ludwiczak2 0 02
- 15Kajetan KupiecU 0 00
- 1Max Fricke2 3 2 2 2 0 112
- 3Kacper Pludra0 0 11+1
- 4Jaimon Lidsey2 3 2 0 3 0 313
- 5Vadim Tarasenko1 1 0 0 2 15
- 6Kacper Łobodziński3 1 1 1 17+2
- 7Kevin Małkiewicz1 01
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU3
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZEU
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Leon Madsen · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 16 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h S
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| CZE | GRU | CZE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Łobodziński | 5 | 3.8 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 7 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Max Fricke | 7 | 12.3 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Szymon Ludwiczak | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.