ZIE vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 13, 2024 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 1 0 1 38+1
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 2 2 2 0 211
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki0 1 W 2 14
- 12Jan Kvech0 00
- 13Piotr Pawlicki2 1 1 2 1 07
- 14Oskar Hurysz3 1 04
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski2 0 13
- 1Mikkel Michelsen2 2 3 07+1
- 2Maksym Drabik3 3 1 3 212
- 3Kacper Woryna1 3 2 2 08+3
- 4Mads Hansen2 2 3 3 111+1
- 5Leon Madsen1 3 3 3 313
- 6Szymon LudwiczakW W 11
- 7Bartosz ŚmigielskiW U T0
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE2
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZEW
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Bartosz Śmigielski · CZEU
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE1
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Fog
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 11 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h S
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 98 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 9 | +5 | −5 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| ZIE | CZE | ZIE | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +5 | 89 % |
| 3 | +3 | 82 % |
| 4 | +5 | 90 % |
| 5 | +1 | 69 % |
| 6 | -3 | 48 % |
| 7 | -3 | 46 % |
| 8 | -7 | 16 % |
| 9 | -9 | 12 % |
| 10 | -11 | 7 % |
| 11 | -11 | 1 % |
| 12 | -11 | 1 % |
| 13 | -15 | 0 % |
| 14 | -13 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Jan Kvech | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Szymon Ludwiczak | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Bartosz Śmigielski | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.6 | 4 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.