LES vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 24, 2024 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Bartosz Smektała2 1 0 3 06+1
- 10Andzejs Lebedevs3 2 3 1 0 312+1
- 12Keynan Rew2 1 1 15
- 13Grzegorz Zengota0 1 3 2 17
- 14Antoni Mencel1 0 D1+1
- 15Hubert Jabłoński2 0 24
- 16Nazar Parnitskyi1 3 0 15+1
- 1Dominik Kubera3 3 2 2 212
- 2Jack Holder1 2 1 3 29+3
- 3Fredrik Lindgren0 2 1 14
- 4Mateusz Cierniak1 0 2 03+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 312
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 2 310+1
- 7Bartosz Bańbor0 0 00
- 8Bartosz Jaworski00
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Antoni Mencel · LESD
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 5.4 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | LUB | LES | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 4 | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 3 | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 8.3 | 4 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.