GRU vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 26, 2024 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke1 2 2 3 3 314
- 10Vadim Tarasenko2 3 1 0 3 211+3
- 11Jaimon Lidsey0 0 0 3 2 T5
- 12Kacper PludraW 1 1 2 1 16+1
- 14Kacper Łobodziński1 3 1 27
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz3 D 14+1
- 1Patryk Dudek3 2 1 1 07+1
- 2Robert Lambert1 W 2 3 39
- 3Wiktor Lampart2 2 2 06+3
- 4Paweł Przedpełski1 3 3 0 W7
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 2 111
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski0 0 00
- 7Mateusz Affelt2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TORW
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRUD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 10 | −3 | +3 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GRU | TOR | GRU | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -3 | 48 % |
| 7 | -3 | 46 % |
| 8 | -7 | 16 % |
| 9 | -7 | 20 % |
| 10 | -5 | 22 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | -1 | 57 % |
| 13 | +1 | 74 % |
| 14 | +1 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 6 | 9.9 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 4 | 3.3 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Kacper Pludra | 6 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.0 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 9.5 | 5 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.