WRO vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 17, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Dan Bewley2 3 2 3 212+3
- 10Tai Woffinden2 2 3 3 313+1
- 11Bartłomiej Kowalski3 2 2 310+2
- 12Artem Laguta3 3 39
- 13Maciej Janowski0 3 3 1 18
- 14Marcel Kowolik0 1 12+1
- 15Jakub Krawczyk1 0 23+1
- 16Francis Gusts0 00
- 1Bartosz Smektała1 1 1 14+2
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 0 1 26+2
- 3Nazar Parnitskyi0 0 2 2 04
- 4Keynan Rew3 1 0 2 17
- 5Grzegorz Zengota2 1 1 0 37
- 6Antoni Mencel3 0 03
- 7Hubert Jabłoński2 T 02+1
Heat by heat
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Antoni Mencel · LES3
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES2*
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Keynan Rew · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES2
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO1
- Keynan Rew · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 13 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h SE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | LES | WRO | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 3 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 5 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Francis Gusts | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.