LUB vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 17, 2024 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera1 3 3 29+1
- 10Mateusz Cierniak3 2 2 1 311+2
- 11Jack Holder2 1 3 39
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 3 D 05+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 311
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 1 17+1
- 15Bartosz Bańbor2 1 1 04+2
- 16Bartosz Jaworski00
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 3 1 3 313
- 2Jan Kvech0 0 W0
- 3Rasmus Jensen0 2 2 2 2 210+1
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki1 0 01
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 U 2 U3
- 6Kacper Rychliński0 0 11
- 7Mateusz Łopuski1 1 02
- 8Michał Curzytek1 2 14+1
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Mateusz Łopuski · ZIE1
- Kacper Rychliński · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Kacper Rychliński · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Mateusz Łopuski · ZIE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIEU
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Kacper Rychliński · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUBD
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Mateusz Łopuski · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIEU
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1*
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 17 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SE
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LUB | ZIE | LUB | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 4 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Mateusz Łopuski | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Rychliński | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jan Kvech | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 3 | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.