CZE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Tuesday, May 28, 2024 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen3 1 0 04
- 10Maksym Drabik2 2 2 2 210+1
- 11Kacper Woryna1 1 2 2 39
- 12Mads Hansen0 3 1 3 18+1
- 13Leon Madsen2 3 3 1 312+1
- 14Kacper Halkiewicz2 1 03+2
- 15Kajetan Kupiec3 0 14+1
- 1Patryk Dudek2 1 3 2 210+1
- 2Robert Lambert3 2 1 3 110
- 3Wiktor Lampart0 2 1 03+1
- 4Paweł Przedpełski3 0 2 1 06+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 3 3 010
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 0 01
- 7Mateusz Affelt00
- 8Antoni KawczyńskiW 00
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE3
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Leon Madsen · CZE1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 16 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| CZE | TOR | CZE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 4 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.