ZIE vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 5, 2024 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel0 1 2 3 28
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 3 1 0 18+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki1 1 W 3 16+1
- 12Jan Kvech0 3 2 05
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 1 010
- 14Oskar Hurysz2 1 03
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski1 0 01+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 2 3 2 211+2
- 2Oskar Fajfer2 1 0 25+1
- 3Martin Vaculik3 2 2 3 313
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak2 0 1 1 04+2
- 5Anders Thomsen1 2 3 2 311+2
- 6Oskar Paluch3 0 14
- 7Jakub Stojanowski0 0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1*
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR2
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 14 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| ZIE | GOR | ZIE | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 11.0 | 8 | -3.0 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.2 | 6 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.