WRO vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 26, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Tai Woffinden3 3 0 06
- 10Dan Bewley3 2 3 1 312+1
- 11Bartłomiej Kowalski2 0 1 3 28+3
- 12Artem Laguta2 3 2 3 212+1
- 13Maciej Janowski1 2 3 3 312+1
- 14Marcel Kowolik0 1 12
- 15Jakub Krawczyk1 0 01
- 1Max Fricke1 1 1 1 15+2
- 2Jaimon Lidsey3 3 2 2 2 012
- 3Kacper Pludra0 2 02
- 4Vadim Tarasenko2 1 2 2 0 18+1
- 5Jason Doyle0 1 3 04
- 6Kevin Małkiewicz2 0 02+1
- 7Kacper Łobodziński3 0 14+1
Heat by heat
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2*
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1*
- Jason Doyle · GRU0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Kacper Pludra · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Jason Doyle · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Jason Doyle · GRU3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Jason Doyle · GRU0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h S
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| WRO | GRU | WRO | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.3 | 12 | +4.7 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 6 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 7.5 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.5 | 5 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.