LUB vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 26, 2024 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera2 1 3 2 08+3
- 10Mateusz Cierniak3 2 0 16+1
- 11Jack Holder3 3 1 3 010+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren1 2 2 3 210+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 1 3 2 110
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski2 2 15+2
- 15Bartosz Bańbor3 0 14
- 1Patryk Dudek1 3 1 1 0 39+1
- 2Robert Lambert0 2 2 2 1 29+2
- 3Wiktor Lampart0 1 01
- 4Paweł Przedpełski0 0 00
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 2 3 3 316
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski1 1 0 02
- 7Mateusz Affelt0 00
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Jack Holder · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 5 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h SE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| LUB | TOR | LUB | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +18 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 10.5 | 16 | +5.5 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.4 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.