GOR vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 28, 2024 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 1 1 3 08+1
- 10Oskar Fajfer2 2 3 07
- 11Martin Vaculik2 1 1 2 39+2
- 12Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 2 0 W8
- 13Anders Thomsen2 1 3 3 312+1
- 14Oskar Paluch2 1 03
- 15Jakub Stojanowski1 0 W1+1
- 1Mikkel Michelsen1 3 2 2 1 110+1
- 2Maksym Drabik0 2 02+1
- 3Kacper Woryna0 2 2 1 27+1
- 4Mads Hansen3 0 1 15+2
- 5Leon Madsen1 3 3 3 2 214
- 6Kajetan Kupiec3 W 0 14
- 7Kacper Halkiewicz0 00
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1*
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h SE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GOR | CZE | GOR | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 13.0 | 14 | +1.0 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Oskar Paluch | 3 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.0 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Maksym Drabik | 3 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.