ZIE vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 21, 2024 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel2 3 1 3 211
- 10Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 0 2 06+2
- 11Rasmus Jensen1 1 3 3 08+2
- 12Jan Kvech1 2 2 05+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 T 3 0 28
- 14Oskar Hurysz2 3 0 05+1
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski3 1 15
- 1Max Fricke3 3 3 3 1 316+1
- 2Vadim Tarasenko2 2 1 2 2 110+3
- 3Jaimon Lidsey0 0 2 2 3 310
- 4Kacper Pludra00
- 5Jason Doyle0 1 1 1 14
- 6Kacper Łobodziński0 1 01
- 7Kevin Małkiewicz1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE3
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE2*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · GRU0
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2*
- Jason Doyle · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2*
- Jason Doyle · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · GRU1
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · GRU1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 6 → 3 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| ZIE | GRU | ZIE | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 6 | 11.0 | 16 | +5.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 6 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Pludra | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.6 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.8 | 4 | -6.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.