TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 19, 2024 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek1 1 3 3 210+2
- 10Robert Lambert2 2 2 2 311+3
- 11Wiktor Lampart0 3 2 2 29+2
- 12Paweł Przedpełski0 1 1 24+2
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 3 314
- 14Mateusz Affelt2 3 05+1
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski3 0 36
- 1Bartosz Smektała3 0 2 1 1 1 19
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs2 2 1 0 W 05+2
- 4Keynan Rew1 2 1 04
- 5Grzegorz Zengota1 3 3 3 0 1 011+1
- 6Damian Ratajczak1 0 01
- 7Antoni Mencel0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR3
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR2*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Antoni Mencel · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Keynan Rew · LES0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 7 → 6 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 1.8 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.5 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 7 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.0 | 5 | -7.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.