LUB vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 19, 2024 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera0 2 1 25+1
- 10Mateusz Cierniak1 1 3 2 07+2
- 11Jack Holder3 1 3 3 212+1
- 12Fredrik Lindgren2 3 1 3 110+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 1 313+1
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 05
- 15Bartosz Bańbor2 1 03+1
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 2 2 1 07
- 2Oskar Fajfer0 0 0 22
- 3Martin Vaculik1 2 1 0 37+2
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak0 0 2 02
- 5Anders Thomsen1 3 2 3 110
- 6Oskar Paluch1 3 0 0 26+1
- 7Jakub Stojanowski0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 5 → 4 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | GOR | LUB | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Oskar Paluch | 5 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.6 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.