CZE vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Tuesday, April 30, 2024 · Krono-Plast Arena, Częstochowa
Results
- 9Mikkel Michelsen3 2 0 3 19+1
- 10Maksym Drabik2 3 2 1 08+1
- 11Kacper Woryna2 3 1 2 08+1
- 12Mads Hansen0 1 3 15
- 13Leon Madsen2 3 3 2 111
- 14Szymon Ludwiczak1 0 01+1
- 15Kajetan Kupiec2 1 03
- 1Tai Woffinden1 0 3 04
- 2Dan Bewley3 2 1 3 2 213+2
- 3Bartłomiej Kowalski0 0 11+1
- 4Artem Laguta3 2 2 2 0 312
- 5Maciej Janowski1 1 2 3 310
- 6Jakub Krawczyk3 1 0 15
- 7Marcel Kowolik0 00
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO3
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE2
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE1*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Mads Hansen · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Kacper Woryna · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Maksym Drabik · CZE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1*
- Szymon Ludwiczak · CZE0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maksym Drabik · CZE2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE0
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1*
- Artem Laguta · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Leon Madsen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 16 °C
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Czestochowa, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| CZE | WRO | CZE | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead CZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 13.7 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Szymon Ludwiczak | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.