WRO vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 29, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 3 216+1
- 10Dan Bewley2 2 2 1 3 313+2
- 11Bartłomiej Kowalski0 0 0 11
- 12Francis Gusts00
- 13Maciej Janowski2 2 1 0 16
- 14Marcel Kowolik0 0 3 1 04
- 15Jakub Krawczyk3 D3
- 16Nikodem Mikołajczyk00
- 1Dominik Kubera3 3 0 2 08
- 2Jack Holder3 1 1 3 19
- 3Fredrik Lindgren1 1 0 24+2
- 4Mateusz Cierniak3 2 2 1 08+1
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik1 1 2 3 29+1
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski1 1 35+1
- 7Bartosz Bańbor2 0 24+1
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WROD
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Fog
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 7 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h W
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| WRO | LUB | WRO | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 13.1 | 16 | +2.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 5 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 2 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Francis Gusts | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Nikodem Mikołajczyk | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 10.9 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 6.0 | 1 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.