GOR vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 29, 2024 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 43 : 46 TOR
GOR
TOR

Heat by heat

Heat 159.78 s4:2
Heat 260.52 s2:3
Heat 360.56 s2:4
Heat 460.64 s3:3
Heat 559.94 s4:2
Heat 659.78 s2:4
Heat 760.42 s3:3
Heat 859.87 s5:1
Heat 959.94 s2:4
Heat 1059.82 s3:3
Heat 1159.86 s2:4
Heat 1259.73 s3:3
Heat 1360.59 s4:2
Heat 1459.68 s2:4
Heat 1559.93 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
13 → 11 °C
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind
8 km/h NW
gusts up to 19 km/h
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
59 %
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41112−1+1
5–79900
8–10108+2−2
11–139900
14–1548−4+4
GORTORGORTOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GOR
-3-2-10123115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+177 %
3-164 %
4-162 %
5+169 %
6-166 %
7-160 %
8+383 %
9+173 %
10+170 %
11-148 %
12-157 %
13+174 %
14-156 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Krzysztof Lewandowski52.66+3.4
Martin Vaculik510.914+3.1
Emil Sajfutdinow510.312+1.7
Paweł Przedpełski57.08+1.0
Jakub Miśkowiak57.28+0.8
Oskar Paluch56.67+0.4
Patryk Dudek510.010-0.0
Antoni Kawczyński32.32-0.3
Szymon Woźniak33.73-0.7
Nicolai Heiselberg21.00-1.0
Oskar Fajfer45.03-2.0
Jakub Stojanowski32.00-2.0
Anders Thomsen510.68-2.6
Robert Lambert510.98-2.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.6459.68 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 41.7:20.0 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +0.33
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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