WRO vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, September 25, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Artem Laguta3 3 2 311+1
- 10Maciej Janowski2 2 3 0 310+1
- 11Bartłomiej Kowalski1 3 3 3 111
- 12Francis Gusts0 00
- 13Dan Bewley3 2 3 1 211+1
- 14Marcel Kowolik0 00
- 15Jakub Krawczyk3 1 2 0 17+2
- 16Nikodem Mikołajczyk0 00
- 1Martin Vaculik2 3 1 2 3 213+1
- 2Szymon Woźniak1 0 01+1
- 3Oskar Fajfer0 T 22
- 4Jakub Miśkowiak1 2 1 1 16+2
- 5Anders Thomsen2 W 1 2 2 310+1
- 6Oskar Paluch2 3 1 0 0 W6+1
- 7Jakub Stojanowski1 12+1
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR0
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO3
- Oskar Paluch · GOR2
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Oskar Paluch · GOR3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR2
- Oskar Paluch · GOR1*
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Jakub Stojanowski · GOR1
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Oskar Fajfer · GOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1*
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO1
- Oskar Paluch · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Nikodem Mikołajczyk · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h S
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | GOR | WRO | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Krawczyk | 5 | 4.0 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Jakub Stojanowski | 2 | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 2 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Nikodem Mikołajczyk | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Francis Gusts | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Oskar Paluch | 6 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 6 | 13.1 | 10 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.