LUB vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, September 13, 2024 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera3 3 2 210+1
- 10Fredrik Lindgren3 1 1 3 311+1
- 11Mateusz Cierniak1 2 2 27+2
- 12Jack Holder1 3 3 3 111+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 3 29+1
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 0 38+1
- 15Bartosz Bańbor2 0 1 03+2
- 1Patryk Dudek2 1 0 1 0 15+1
- 2Robert Lambert3 1 3 3 3 215
- 3Nicolai Heiselberg00
- 4Paweł Przedpełski1 0 1 0 24+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow0 2 2 1 1 06
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski0 0 00
- 7Antoni Kawczyński1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · TOR0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB2*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1*
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 87 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LUB | TOR | LUB | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Holder | 5 | 6.2 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 6 | 12.9 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 4 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.4 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 12.3 | 6 | -6.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.