GOR vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 8, 2024 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 44 : 46 WRO
GOR
WRO

Heat by heat

Heat 160.43 s4:2
Heat 260.57 s3:3
Heat 360.37 s5:1
Heat 460.19 s5:1
Heat 560.66 s1:5
Heat 660.11 s1:5
Heat 760.73 s3:3
Heat 860.65 s2:4
Heat 960.71 s3:3
Heat 1060.76 s4:2
Heat 1161.25 s2:4
Heat 1261.21 s5:1
Heat 1360.80 s1:5
Heat 1461.50 s2:4
Heat 1561.45 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
28 → 24 °C
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind
7 km/h SE
gusts up to 26 km/h
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
49 %
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4177+10−10
5–7513−8+8
8–109900
11–13810−2+2
14–1557−2+2
GORWROGORWRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GOR
-20246810115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+277 %
3+690 %
4+1098 %
5+690 %
6+274 %
7+270 %
8057 %
9056 %
10+270 %
11048 %
12+486 %
13056 %
14-223 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Bartłomiej Kowalski57.111+3.9
Martin Vaculik510.313+2.7
Adam Bubba Bednar42.04+2.0
Artem Laguta613.415+1.6
Oskar Paluch34.15+0.9
Maciej Janowski58.89+0.2
Jakub Stojanowski31.92+0.1
Szymon Woźniak56.56-0.5
Jakub Miśkowiak57.56-1.5
Jakub Krawczyk33.62-1.6
Marcel Kowolik32.71-1.7
Francis Gusts32.71-1.7
Anders Thomsen510.08-2.0
Dan Bewley59.57-2.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.5060.11 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 39.7:27.0 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +2.33 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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