LUB vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 1, 2024 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Dominik Kubera3 2 2 2 110+1
- 10Mateusz Cierniak2 3 1 2 210+3
- 11Jack Holder1 1 1 36+2
- 12Fredrik Lindgren3 2 2 1 311+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik1 3 3 3 313
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 1 15+1
- 15Bartosz Bańbor2 0 13+1
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 0 2 3 3 212
- 2Michał Curzytek0 1 0 0 2 03+1
- 3Rasmus Jensen0 3 3 2 0 08
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 1 0 3 1 18
- 6Krzysztof Sadurski1 0 01
- 7Oskar Hurysz0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Jack Holder · LUB1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · LUB1
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Jack Holder · LUB1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LUB | ZIE | LUB | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Michał Curzytek | 6 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.