GRU vs WRO

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 1, 2024 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz

Results

GRU 41 : 49 WRO

GRU

9Max Fricke1 2 3 2 2 010+1
10Jaimon Lidsey1 1 1 0 03+1
11Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 3 1 2 312+2
12Kacper Pludra1 01+1
13Vadim Tarasenko2 2 T 2 39
14Kacper Łobodziński0 00
15Kevin Małkiewicz2 0 1 36

WRO

1Dan Bewley2 3 2 3 111+2
2Francis Gusts0 1 0 12
3Artem Laguta3 2 3 3 213
4Bartłomiej Kowalski2 1 2 0 27+3
5Maciej Janowski3 3 1 1 19+1
6Jakub Krawczyk1 3 04
7Marcel Kowolik3 0 T3

Heat by heat

Heat 166.04 s1:5

Artem Laguta · WRO3
Dan Bewley · WRO2*
Max Fricke · GRU1
Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0

Heat 267.89 s2:4

Heat 366.82 s3:3

Heat 467.23 s1:5

Heat 566.26 s3:3

Heat 666.83 s2:4

Heat 767.33 s3:3

Maciej Janowski · WRO3
Max Fricke · GRU2
Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1*
Marcel Kowolik · WRO0

Heat 867.06 s1:5

Heat 966.83 s4:2

Max Fricke · GRU3
Dan Bewley · WRO2
Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
Francis Gusts · WRO0

Heat 1067.29 s5:1

Heat 1166.92 s3:3

Heat 1267.57 s5:1

Heat 1366.40 s2:4

Heat 1467.05 s3:3

Heat 1566.00 s3:3

Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
Artem Laguta · WRO2
Dan Bewley · WRO1*
Max Fricke · GRU0

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 21 → 16 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 5 km/h NE; gusts up to 17 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 50 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	7	17	−10	+10
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	10	8	+2	−2
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	GRU	WRO	GRU	WRO

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead GRU

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	-6	27 %
3	-6	32 %
4	-10	8 %
5	-10	9 %
6	-12	7 %
7	-12	4 %
8	-16	1 %
9	-14	3 %
10	-10	7 %
11	-10	1 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-8	2 %
14	-8	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Kevin Małkiewicz	4	3.2	6	+2.8
Dan Bewley	5	8.6	11	+2.4
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	9.6	12	+2.4
Artem Laguta	5	11.6	13	+1.4
Jakub Krawczyk	3	3.3	4	+0.7
Marcel Kowolik	3	2.8	3	+0.2
Kacper Pludra	2	1.1	1	-0.1
Maciej Janowski	5	9.1	9	-0.1
Max Fricke	6	10.4	10	-0.4
Vadim Tarasenko	5	9.5	9	-0.5
Bartłomiej Kowalski	5	7.7	7	-0.7
Francis Gusts	4	3.8	2	-1.8
Kacper Łobodziński	2	2.4	0	-2.4
Jaimon Lidsey	5	6.6	3	-3.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.8966.00 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.7:35.3 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −2.33 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source