GOR vs TOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 1, 2024 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 51 : 39 TOR
GOR
TOR

Heat by heat

Heat 160.28 s3:3
Heat 260.05 s4:2
Heat 359.67 s4:2
Heat 460.12 s3:3
Heat 560.63 s2:4
Heat 662.16 s3:3
Heat 760.49 s4:2
Heat 861.70 s5:1
Heat 961.16 s3:3
Heat 1061.58 s3:3
Heat 1162.21 s2:4
Heat 1261.74 s4:2
Heat 1361.63 s5:1
Heat 1461.90 s4:2
Heat 1560.84 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
21 → 17 °C
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind
5 km/h NE
gusts up to 17 km/h
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
59 %
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41410+4−4
5–79900
8–10117+4−4
11–13117+4−4
14–156600
GORTORGORTOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GOR
02468101214115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+277 %
3+482 %
4+483 %
5+269 %
6+274 %
7+482 %
8+894 %
9+894 %
10+895 %
11+692 %
12+898 %
13+12100 %
14+14100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Oskar Paluch56.511+4.5
Anders Thomsen510.013+3.0
Patryk Dudek714.317+2.7
Szymon Woźniak57.48+0.6
Jakub Miśkowiak46.57+0.5
Krzysztof Lewandowski42.93+0.1
Jakub Stojanowski32.12-0.1
Anders Rowe21.31-0.3
Wiktor Lampart32.42-0.4
Adam Bubba Bednar31.61-0.6
Robert Lambert716.115-1.1
Antoni Kawczyński21.70-1.7
Martin Vaculik510.89-1.8
Paweł Przedpełski56.41-5.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.2159.67 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.3:30.0 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.83 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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