ZIE vs LUB

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 23, 2024 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 35 : 54 LUB
ZIE
LUB

Heat by heat

Heat 163.14 s1:5
Heat 262.82 s2:4
Heat 31:5
Heat 462.64 s3:3
Heat 563.15 s3:3
Heat 662.59 s1:5
Heat 762.38 s3:3
Heat 863.28 s2:4
Heat 962.88 s4:2
Heat 1062.85 s1:5
Heat 1162.89 s5:1
Heat 1262.64 s4:2
Heat 1363.14 s2:3
Heat 1463.19 s2:4
Heat 1563.36 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
28 → 25 °C
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind
14 km/h S
gusts up to 26 km/h
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
51 %
Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4717−10+10
5–7711−4+4
8–10711−4+4
11–13116+5−5
14–1539−6+6
ZIELUBZIELUB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead ZIE
-20-15-10-5115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2-627 %
3-107 %
4-108 %
5-109 %
6-144 %
7-140 %
8-161 %
9-143 %
10-182 %
11-142 %
12-120 %
13-130 %
14-150 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Wiktor Przyjemski45.911+5.1
Oskar Hurysz63.15+1.9
Dominik Kubera58.110+1.9
Bartosz Zmarzlik511.312+0.7
Michał Curzytek20.91+0.1
Przemysław Pawlicki68.58-0.5
Jack Holder47.57-0.5
Piotr Pawlicki45.65-0.6
Jarosław Hampel47.97-0.9
Rasmus Jensen610.29-1.2
Krzysztof Sadurski21.50-1.5
Mateusz Cierniak46.65-1.6
Bartosz Bańbor32.71-1.7
Fredrik Lindgren510.38-2.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 63.3662.38 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 32.3:28.7 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.42 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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