WRO vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 23, 2024 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Artem Laguta3 3 3 3 315
- 10Dan Bewley0 2 2 3 18+2
- 11Bartłomiej Kowalski1 3 1 2 29+2
- 12Francis Gusts0 00
- 13Maciej Janowski2 2 1 05
- 14Marcel Kowolik2 3 0 05+1
- 15Jakub Krawczyk3 0 2 3 08
- 1Max Fricke2 3 2 1 2 010+1
- 2Jaimon Lidsey3 1 0 1 16
- 3Kacper Pludra0 11+1
- 4Vadim Tarasenko1 2 3 1 2 211+2
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 3 1 39+1
- 6Kevin Małkiewicz0 2 0 D2
- 7Kacper Łobodziński1 01
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO3
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO2*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Francis Gusts · WRO0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRUD
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 20 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| WRO | GRU | WRO | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.1 | 15 | +3.9 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 5 | 4.3 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 4 | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Kacper Pludra | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Francis Gusts | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.