TOR vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 25, 2024 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 42 : 48 GOR
TOR
GOR

Heat by heat

Heat 161.26 s1:5
Heat 262.03 s3:3
Heat 361.30 s3:3
Heat 461.08 s2:4
Heat 561.99 s5:1
Heat 661.57 s3:3
Heat 761.32 s3:3
Heat 861.53 s3:3
Heat 961.34 s2:4
Heat 1061.42 s1:5
Heat 1162.19 s3:3
Heat 122:4
Heat 1361.39 s3:3
Heat 1462.11 s4:2
Heat 1561.76 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
21 → 19 °C
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Wind
8 km/h NW
gusts up to 24 km/h
Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
65 %
Measured · Torun, 3 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–7117+4−4
8–10612−6+6
11–13810−2+2
14–1584+4−4
TORGORTORGOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
-10-8-6-4-2115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2-437 %
3-434 %
4-623 %
5-247 %
6-248 %
7-246 %
8-248 %
9-428 %
10-85 %
11-88 %
12-101 %
13-101 %
14-80 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Anders Thomsen59.213+3.8
Krzysztof Lewandowski32.15+2.9
Jakub Stojanowski31.93+1.1
Patryk Dudek712.013+1.0
Paweł Przedpełski68.09+1.0
Martin Vaculik59.110+0.9
Wiktor Lampart42.73+0.3
Szymon Woźniak58.08-0.0
Oskar Paluch34.44-0.4
Jakub Miśkowiak46.25-1.2
Oskar Fajfer57.35-2.3
Antoni Kawczyński32.50-2.5
Robert Lambert716.512-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.1961.08 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 36.7:21.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.47
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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