ZIE vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 11, 2024 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 3 2 1 110
- 10Rasmus Jensen2 2 1 2 29+3
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki1 D 3 3 18+1
- 12Jan Kvech2 3 D 05
- 13Piotr Pawlicki1 3 2 3 312+1
- 14Oskar Hurysz1 W 01
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski0 0 11
- 1Patryk Dudek2 1 0 2 38+2
- 2Robert Lambert3 2 3 2 212
- 3Anders Rowe0 1 1 02
- 4Paweł Przedpełski3 2 3 3 011
- 5Wiktor Lampart0 1 2 1 04
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski2 1 14+1
- 7Antoni Kawczyński3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Anders Rowe · TOR0
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Anders Rowe · TOR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIED
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Anders Rowe · TOR1
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Patryk Dudek · TOR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Jan Kvech · ZIED
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR1
- Anders Rowe · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1*
- Wiktor Lampart · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 24 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | TOR | ZIE | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 6.8 | 11 | +4.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 12.0 | 12 | -0.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 5 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 10.0 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.